Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 64.35%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Armagh City had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for an Armagh City win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.