Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patro Eisden win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patro Eisden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Patro Eisden in this match.