Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 10.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Willem II
10.83% ( -0.04)	16.68% ( 0.54)	72.5% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

-2.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.15% (

-2.82)

37.85% (

2.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.9% (

-3.08)

60.1% (

3.08)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.57% (

-1.98)

44.43% (

1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.53% (

-1.65)

80.47% (

1.65)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.89% (

-0.81)

9.11% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.05% (

-1.99)

30.95% (

1.99)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 10.83%

Willem II 72.49%

Draw 16.68%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Willem II
1-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.83%	1-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.93% Total : 16.68%	0-2 @ 11.61% ( 0.7) 0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.93) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 9.28% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 7.53% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 5.55% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 4.51% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.27) 0-5 @ 2.66% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 2.16% ( -0.24) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.24) 0-6 @ 1.06% ( -0.1) Other @ 4.13% Total : 72.49%