MX23RW : Tuesday, July 2 05:28:10| >> :600:30555343:30555343:
Canada national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 12am UK
BMO Field

Canada
2 - 2
Guadeloupe

Cavallini (49'), Laryea (70')
Cavallini (44'), Vitoria (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ambrose (23'), Russell-Rowe (90+3' og.)
Phaeton (62'), Gravillon (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Canada and Guadeloupe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Canada 0-2 USA
Monday, June 19 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Cuba 1-0 Guadeloupe
Sunday, March 26 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Canada 2-0 Guadeloupe

While this is not the most talented Canadian squad, they still have plenty of quality available at this competition along with some raw talent, and we believe Guadeloupe will struggle in their build-up as many players on that squad have not competed at an event as big as this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Guadeloupe win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
CanadaDrawGuadeloupe
54.45% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 23.73% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.09% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)48.55% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.022000000000002 0.02)70.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)17.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)48.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)36.69% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (0.047999999999998 0.05)73.47% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Canada 54.45%
    Guadeloupe 21.81%
    Draw 23.73%
CanadaDrawGuadeloupe
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.81%

How you voted: Canada vs Guadeloupe

Canada
84.3%
Draw
7.8%
Guadeloupe
7.8%
51
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!