Canada
0 - 2
USA

Kennedy (15'), Laryea (45+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Richards (12'), Balogun (34')
Cardoso (80'), Turner (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Canada and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Canada 1-1 USA (Canada wins on penalties)

The Canadians have proven they are a force to be reckoned with in CONCACAF, and their offensive depth and continuity seems to be a little sharper than the Americans, which is why we believe they are due to lift some silverware at long last this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Canada had a probability of 38.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.06%) and 2-3 (5.02%). The likeliest Canada win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	USA
38.29%	20.57%	41.14%

Both teams to score 75.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.82%

23.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.5%

42.5%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.25%

13.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.98%

41.02%

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.24%

12.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.97%

39.03%

Score Analysis

Canada 38.29%

USA 41.14%

Draw 20.57%

Canada	Draw	USA
2-1 @ 7.11% 3-2 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 4.7% 1-0 @ 3.48% 2-0 @ 3.45% 4-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-3 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.13% 5-2 @ 0.95% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.02% Total : 38.29%	2-2 @ 7.32% 1-1 @ 7.17% 3-3 @ 3.32% 0-0 @ 1.75% Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.57%	1-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 5.06% 2-3 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 3.72% 0-1 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2.55% 3-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.31% 1-5 @ 1.07% 2-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.45% Total : 41.14%