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Real Valladolid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Jose Zorrilla
Granada logo

Real Valladolid
1 - 2
Granada

Orellana (41' pen.)
Alcaraz (62'), Janko (62'), Masip (64'), Bruno (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Molina (78'), Quini (86')
Vallejo (34'), Suarez Charris (67')

Preview: Real Valladolid vs. Granada - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Granada will be looking to end a run of four straight defeats in all competitions when they resume their La Liga campaign away to Real Valladolid on Sunday evening.

The visitors are currently ninth in the table, one point behind eighth-placed Celta Vigo, while struggling Valladolid occupy 16th position, just three points clear of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Barcelona's Oscar Mingueza in action with Real Valladolid's Marcos de Sousa in La Liga on December 22, 2020© Reuters

Valladolid performed impressively against Barcelona on Monday evening and came incredibly close to securing a share of the spoils at Camp Nou, only to concede in the 90th minute of the contest.

The defeat was the team's first in the league since February 20, but they have only managed one victory in Spain's top flight since the start of January, which has left them in a difficult position in the table.

Indeed, a record of five wins, 12 draws and 12 defeats from 29 matches has brought the White and Violets 27 points, which has left them in 16th position, just three points clear of the relegation zone.

There are actually only four points separating the bottom five teams in Spain's top flight, and Sergio Gonzalez's side will be looking over their shoulder as they bid to secure a third straight season at this level.

Manchester United's Marcus Rashford celebrates scoring against Granada in the Europa League on April 8, 2021© Reuters

Granada, meanwhile, will enter this match off the back of a 2-0 defeat to Manchester United in the first leg of their Europa League quarter-final on Thursday night.

The Spanish club frustrated the Red Devils for long spells, but they fell behind in the 31st minute of the contest courtesy of an excellent goal from Marcus Rashford, before Bruno Fernandes netted a second from the penalty spot in the 90th minute, leaving Diego Martinez's side with a mountain to climb ahead of the second leg at Old Trafford.

Granada's league form is also a concern, having suffered defeats in three of their last four fixtures, including back-to-back losses to Valencia and Villarreal, conceding five times in the process.

Martinez's team, who finished seventh in La Liga last season, are currently ninth in the table, and it appears that they will only be able to catch eighth-placed Celta Vigo as Villarreal in seventh are 10 points clear.

Real Valladolid La Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L

Granada La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Granada form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Granada players celebrate overcoming Napoli in the Europa League on February 25, 2021© Reuters

Valladolid will be missing Oscar Plano through suspension due to the Spaniard's red card against Barca, but Fabian Orellana is now available following a ban of his own.

The home side still have a number of injury problems, with Jawad El Yamiq, Fede and Raul Garcia all sidelined, while Kiko Olivas and Jota are doubts for this match.

Joaquin Fernandez, Kike Perez, Luis Perez, Roberto Jimenez and Michel are also unlikely to be available, with all five players recently testing positive for coronavirus.

As for Granada, Neyder Lozano and Luis Milla are on the sidelines through injury, while Domingos Duarte limped off the field against Man United on Thursday and is now a major doubt.

Roberto Soldado played almost the full game against the Red Devils in the Europa League, but the experienced striker is suspended for this match due to the booking that he picked up against Villarreal.

There will be changes from the team that started last time out, with Darwin Machis, German Sanchez, Dimitri Foulquier, Yan Eteki and Jorge Molina among those expected to feature.

Real Valladolid possible starting lineup:
Masip; Sanchez, Gonzalez, Olaza; Janko, Alcaraz, Mesa, Nacho; Orellana; Guardiola, Weissman

Granada possible starting lineup:
Silva; Foulquier, Vallejo, Sanchez, Quini; Eteki, Quina; Puertas, Vico, Machis; Molina


SM words green background

We say: Real Valladolid 1-1 Granada

Both teams will be desperate to put three points on the board this weekend; it is a bigger game for Valladolid taking everything into consideration, but Granada's recent form is worrying. The pair played out a 1-1 draw when they last locked horns at Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla in September 2019, and we can see the same result occurring on Sunday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



ID:442549:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11060:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Real Valladolid vs Granada

Real Valladolid
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
Granada
30.0%
50
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