Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.