Greek Superleague | Gameweek 4

Apr 7, 2024 at 6.30pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

AEK Athens
2 - 2
PAOK

Gacinovic (30'), Amrabat (49')
Gacinovic (36'), Szymanski (61'), Vida (68'), Amrabat (71'), Ponce (81'), Athanasiadis (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rahman (62'), Ozdoyev (89')
Murg (27'), Meite (28'), Castro (48'), Rahman (68'), Zivkovic (77'), Sastre (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between AEK Athens and PAOK.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions

Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-1 AEK Athens
Wednesday, April 3 at 7pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

PAOK

All competitions

Greek Superleague

Last Game: PAOK 3-1 Lamia
Wednesday, April 3 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 52.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
AEK Athens	Draw	PAOK
52.15% ( 0.36)	24.18% ( -0.15)	23.67% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 52.97% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49% (

0.43)

48.51% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36% (

0.4)

70.64% (

-0.39)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.42% (

0.3)

18.58% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.15% (

0.51)

49.84% (

-0.51)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06% (

0.06)

34.94% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32% (

0.06)

71.68% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

AEK Athens 52.14%

PAOK 23.67%

Draw 24.17%

AEK Athens	Draw	PAOK
1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.14%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 23.67%