Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadion Maksimir
Dinamo Zagreb2 - 0PAOK
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osijek 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, March 3 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Sunday, March 3 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Lamia 0-2 PAOK
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Sunday, March 3 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
We said: Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 PAOK
Dinamo Zagreb will be desperate to record a victory in Thursday's home leg, but we think that the Croatian champions will be held to a draw by a PAOK side that has avoided defeat in each of their 12 matches across qualifying and the main draw of this season's Europa Conference League. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
Result | ||
Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | PAOK |
41.19% ( -0.02) | 25.86% ( -0) | 32.95% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.11% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.93% ( 0.02) | 50.06% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.95% ( 0.02) | 72.04% ( -0.02) |
Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.94% | 24.06% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% ( -0) | 58.33% ( 0) |
PAOK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% ( 0.03) | 28.75% ( -0.03) |