Aris

3 - 0

Asteras

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 11.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.46%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.