Greek Superleague | Gameweek 16

Jan 4, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
1 - 0
Aris

Ingi Ingason (45+1')
Douglas (30'), Zivkovic (36'), Kotarski (90'), Schwab (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Peersman (45+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and Aris Thessaloniki.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions

Last Game: Atromitos 1-1 PAOK
Wednesday, December 28 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aris Thessaloniki

All competitions

Last Game: Aris 1-0 Panetolikos
Thursday, December 29 at 4pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PAOK in this match.

Result
PAOK	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
41.68% ( -0.34)	29.13% ( 0.1)	29.19% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 43.18% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.75% (

-0.23)

63.25% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.35% (

-0.16)

82.64% (

0.16)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.04% (

-0.31)

29.96% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.93% (

-0.37)

66.07% (

0.37)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.64% (

0.07)

38.36% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.89% (

0.06)

75.11% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

PAOK 41.68%

Aris Thessaloniki 29.19%

Draw 29.12%

PAOK	Draw	Aris Thessaloniki
1-0 @ 13.85% 2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.4% Total : 41.68%	1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.12%	0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 29.19%