International Friendly

May 28, 2022 at 5pm UK

East Timor
2 - 2
Nepal

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between East Timor and Nepal.

Form, Standings, Stats

East Timor

Last Game: Cambodia 2-1 East Timor
Thursday, June 2 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Nepal

Last Game: Nepal 0-2 Oman
Friday, June 3 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Timor win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Timor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Nepal win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
East Timor	Draw	Nepal
39.32% ( -0.01)	26.15% ( -0.01)	34.52% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.53% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.02% (

0.05)

50.98% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.15% (

0.04)

72.85% (

-0.05)

East Timor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

0.02)

25.44% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74% (

0.03)

60.26% (

-0.03)

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

0.03)

28.2% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.1% (

0.04)

63.9% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

East Timor 39.33%

Nepal 34.52%

Draw 26.15%

East Timor	Draw	Nepal
1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.33%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.52%