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Timor Leste national football team
International Friendly
May 28, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Nepal national football team

East Timor
2 - 2
Nepal

FT
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between East Timor and Nepal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambodia 2-1 East Timor
Thursday, June 2 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nepal 0-2 Oman
Friday, June 3 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Timor win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Timor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Nepal win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
East TimorDrawNepal
39.32% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 26.15% (-0.012 -0.01) 34.52% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.53% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.02% (0.049999999999997 0.05)50.98% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.044999999999998 0.04)72.85% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
East Timor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (0.019999999999996 0.02)25.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)60.26% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (0.031999999999996 0.03)28.2% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.1% (0.042000000000002 0.04)63.9% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    East Timor 39.33%
    Nepal 34.52%
    Draw 26.15%
East TimorDrawNepal
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.33%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.52%

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