Friendlies 1
Mar 25, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno
Indonesia3 - 1Burundi
Sayuri (6'), Sulistyawan (14'), Ridho (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Niyongabire (51')
Nzigamasabo (41'), Mashauri (59')
Nzigamasabo (41'), Mashauri (59')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Indonesia and Burundi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Indonesia 2-1 Curacao
Tuesday, September 27 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 27 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Ivory Coast 4-0 Burundi
Wednesday, November 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, November 16 at 4pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 67.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 12.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Burundi |
67.63% ( 0.46) | 19.75% ( -0.2) | 12.62% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.85% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
