Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 1-0 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.