MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:51:16| >> :120:3869:3869:
Saudi Arabia national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Saoud Bin Abdulrahman Stadium
Lebanon national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 0
Lebanon

Albirakan (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Saudi Arabia and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Last Game: Jordan 0-2 Saudi Arabia
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Lebanon
Thursday, January 4 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

Lebanon

Last Game: Lebanon 2-1 Jordan
Thursday, December 28 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Saudi Arabia 2-0 Lebanon

 The Green Falcons seemed to find their form near the end of 2023 and should be able to carry that momentum into this friendly. Given their experience in big tournaments and overall quality, we believe Saudi Arabia will overwhelm a Lebanese side still figuring out their identity under new management. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Lebanon had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lebanon win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saudi Arabia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saudi Arabia.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawLebanon
40.9%25.92%33.18%
Both teams to score 53.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73%50.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78%72.21%
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7%24.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33%58.66%
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.47%64.52%
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 40.9%
    Lebanon 33.18%
    Draw 25.91%
Saudi ArabiaDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 4.11%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.7%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.18%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Lebanon

Saudi Arabia
44.4%
Draw
22.2%
Lebanon
33.3%
9
rhs 2.0
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