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Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 3
Sep 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Teddi Malcha Stadium

Beitar Jerusalem
2 - 0
Hapoel Hadera

Friday (58'), George (66')
Kriaf (25'), Dgani (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Coulibaly (57'), Madmon (90+3')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Beitar Jerusalem and Hapoel Hadera.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ashdod 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem
Monday, September 4 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: Hapoel Hadera 0-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Sunday, September 3 at 6.30pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Hapoel Hadera had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Hapoel Hadera win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.

Result
Beitar JerusalemDrawHapoel Hadera
45.61% (0.171 0.17) 25.41% (0.123 0.12) 28.97% (-0.299 -0.3)
Both teams to score 53.7% (-0.586 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.24% (-0.68 -0.68)49.76% (0.677 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (-0.611 -0.61)71.77% (0.608 0.61)
Beitar Jerusalem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)21.81% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.317 -0.32)55.02% (0.314 0.31)
Hapoel Hadera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.56699999999999 -0.57)31.32% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.661 -0.66)67.68% (0.658 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Beitar Jerusalem 45.61%
    Hapoel Hadera 28.97%
    Draw 25.41%
Beitar JerusalemDrawHapoel Hadera
1-0 @ 10.4% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 45.61%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.97%

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