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Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 1
Nov 25, 2023 at 6pm UK
Sammy Ofer Stadium

Maccabi Haifa
2 - 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva

Hajaj (18'), Chery (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Elimelech (49')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Maccabi Haifa and Hapoel Petah Tikva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maccabi Tel Aviv 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
Saturday, September 30 at 3.45pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 15.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Hapoel Petah Tikva win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.

Result
Maccabi HaifaDrawHapoel Petah Tikva
63.59% (-3.859 -3.86) 21.1% (1.466 1.47) 15.31% (2.4 2.4)
Both teams to score 48.62% (1.568 1.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.8% (-1.224 -1.22)47.2% (1.231 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.57% (-1.147 -1.15)69.43% (1.155 1.16)
Maccabi Haifa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.83% (-1.52 -1.52)14.17% (1.527 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (-3.061 -3.06)41.87% (3.068 3.07)
Hapoel Petah Tikva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.64% (2.786 2.79)43.36% (-2.778 -2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.41% (2.241 2.24)79.59% (-2.233 -2.23)
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Haifa 63.59%
    Hapoel Petah Tikva 15.31%
    Draw 21.1%
Maccabi HaifaDrawHapoel Petah Tikva
1-0 @ 12% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 11.73% (-0.74 -0.74)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 7.64% (-0.959 -0.96)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.267 -0.27)
4-0 @ 3.73% (-0.713 -0.71)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.32 -0.32)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.095 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.38 -0.38)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 63.59%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.697 0.7)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.311 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.364 0.36)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 21.1%
0-1 @ 5.14% (0.622 0.62)
1-2 @ 4.19% (0.582 0.58)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.4 0.4)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.237 0.24)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 15.31%

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