MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 22:04:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Nes Tziona Stadium

Maccabi Petah Tikva
5 - 1
Bnei Sakhnin

Mahamid (17', 45+3'), Gurno (40'), Levi (53'), Guindo (86')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Hugy (10')
Martinovic (47')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Maccabi Petah Tikva and Bnei Sakhnin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ashdod 1-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Saturday, September 23 at 5.45pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 1-1 Bnei Sakhnin
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Petah Tikva win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Bnei Sakhnin had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bnei Sakhnin win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Petah Tikva would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Petah TikvaDrawBnei Sakhnin
44.34% (4.196 4.2) 26.22% (-0.785 -0.79) 29.44% (-3.408 -3.41)
Both teams to score 51.44% (1.034 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (1.968 1.97)52.82% (-1.966 -1.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (1.655 1.66)74.45% (-1.652 -1.65)
Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (3.046 3.05)23.71% (-3.043 -3.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.16% (4.194 4.19)57.84% (-4.19 -4.19)
Bnei Sakhnin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-1.392 -1.39)32.57% (1.394 1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (-1.592 -1.59)69.1% (1.594 1.59)
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Petah Tikva 44.34%
    Bnei Sakhnin 29.44%
    Draw 26.22%
Maccabi Petah TikvaDrawBnei Sakhnin
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.522 0.52)
2-0 @ 8% (0.748 0.75)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.59 0.59)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.651 0.65)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.25 0.25)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.325 0.33)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.33 0.33)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.34%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.35 -0.35)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.618 -0.62)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-1.058 -1.06)
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.476 -0.48)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.805 -0.81)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.287 -0.29)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.384 -0.38)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 29.44%

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