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Israeli Premier League | Gameweek 9
Dec 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Nes Tziona Stadium

Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 - 4
Be'er Sheva

Guindo (2')
Gurno (10'), Paramatti (38'), Handy (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fliter (68'), Hatuel (72'), Turgeman (75'), Vitor (87')
Hatuel (73')
Coverage of the Israeli Premier League clash between Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Be'er Sheva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maccabi Bnei Raina 3-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Saturday, December 9 at 3.30pm in Israeli Premier League
Last Game: Maccabi Netanya 1-0 Be'er Sheva
Monday, December 11 at 6pm in Israeli Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Petah TikvaDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
33.38% (0.124 0.12) 28.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 38.23% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.16% (0.020000000000003 0.02)59.83% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)80.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (0.094999999999999 0.09)33.4% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (0.105 0.11)70.02% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)30.28% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.54% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)66.46% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Petah Tikva 33.38%
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 38.23%
    Draw 28.39%
Maccabi Petah TikvaDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.66% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 33.38%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 12.08% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.23%

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