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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 6am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 3
Kyoto Sanga

Arai (72')
Tagami (67'), Ito (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toyokawa (28'), Patric (75', 80' pen.)
Kawasaki (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kyoto Sanga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, June 4 at 6am in J1 League

We said: Albirex Niigata 2-1 Kyoto Sanga

Neither team heads into this match with much confidence overall, but with both teams in a desperate need of points it is going to be a crucial match that Alibrex Niigata could just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKyoto Sanga
51.95% (-0.341 -0.34) 24.25% (0.099 0.1) 23.8% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 52.92% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.34% (-0.184 -0.18)48.66% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.169 -0.17)70.78% (0.17 0.17)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (-0.203 -0.2)18.71% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93% (-0.341 -0.34)50.07% (0.341 0.34)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (0.116 0.12)34.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (0.119 0.12)71.65% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 51.95%
    Kyoto Sanga 23.8%
    Draw 24.25%
Albirex NiigataDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.95%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.8%

How you voted: Albirex Niigata vs Kyoto Sanga

Albirex Niigata
Draw
Kyoto Sanga
Albirex Niigata
100%
Draw
0.0%
Kyoto Sanga
0.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kyoto Sanga137331814424
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers127141911822
3Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136431511422
4Kashiwa ReysolReysol11551128420
5Avispa Fukuoka126241312120
6Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki124621911818
7Shimizu S-PulseShimizu S-Pulse125341713418
8Fagiano OkayamaOkayama12534118318
9Vissel KobeVissel Kobe11533108218
10Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima11524109117
11Machida Zelvia125251212017
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare125251014-417
13Tokyo Verdy12354812-414
14Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka124261219-714
15Cerezo OsakaCerezo123451617-113
16FC Tokyo123451113-213
17Yokohama FCYokohama FC12336810-212
18Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus123271321-811
19Albirex Niigata111551116-58
20Yokohama F MarinosYokohama121561117-68


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