Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.