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J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 10, 2023 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
2 - 1
Vissel Kobe

Croux (50'), Kitano (90+3')
Kagawa (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yamaguchi (51')
Sakai (28'), Thuler (71'), Patric (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Vissel Kobe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Cerezo
Saturday, June 3 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-2 Barcelona
Tuesday, June 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-1 Vissel Kobe

Vissel Kobe are yet to lose on the road this season, but after drawing their last two away matches, we think that they may have to settle for a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawVissel Kobe
33.07% (2.612 2.61) 27.88% (0.387 0.39) 39.05% (-2.998 -3)
Both teams to score 47.84% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.94% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)58.06% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.26% (-0.607 -0.61)78.74% (0.60900000000001 0.61)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (1.459 1.46)32.7% (-1.458 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (1.597 1.6)69.25% (-1.596 -1.6)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (-2.032 -2.03)28.92% (2.035 2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-2.595 -2.6)64.8% (2.596 2.6)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 33.06%
    Vissel Kobe 39.05%
    Draw 27.88%
Cerezo OsakaDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 10.57% (0.704 0.7)
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.61 0.61)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.239 0.24)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.304 0.3)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.06%
1-1 @ 13.11% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.273 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 11.73% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.376 -0.38)
0-2 @ 7.28% (-0.646 -0.65)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.362 -0.36)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.459 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 39.05%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Vissel Kobe

Cerezo Osaka
13.3%
Draw
20.0%
Vissel Kobe
66.7%
15
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 11am
gameweek 24
Cerezo
3-0
Vissel Kobe
Taggart (22'), Suzuki (31'), Kato (87')

Yamakawa (68')
Apr 10, 2022 6am
Jul 17, 2021 11am
gameweek 20
Cerezo
1-1
Vissel Kobe
Toriumi (89')
Furuhashi (30')
May 15, 2021 8am
gameweek 14
Vissel Kobe
1-1
Cerezo
Vermaelen (90+6')
Sakamoto (75')
Sep 16, 2020 11am
gameweek 15
Vissel Kobe
0-1
Cerezo

Dankler (81')
Kakitani (63')
Tokura (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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