J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2023 at 6am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium
Gamba Osaka1 - 2Cerezo
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 4-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 29 at 11am in J1 League
Saturday, April 29 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gamba Osaka | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
31.3% ( -0.86) | 27.49% ( 0.32) | 41.21% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
