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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 11am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Oliveira (18', 80')
Abe (45+7'), Oliveira (58'), Slowik (72'), Trevisan (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yonemoto (25'), Nagai (29'), Nogami (36'), Mateus (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 3-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, June 11 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, June 11 at 8am in J1 League

We said: FC Tokyo 1-2 Nagoya Grampus

Despite the fresh optimism a new manager can bring, it is difficult to see Tokyo having enough quality to stop a Nagoya Grampus side that is firing on all cylinders at the moment. Grampus have one of the best away records in the division for a reason, and we believe they will have too much quality for their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
FC TokyoDrawNagoya Grampus
33.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 28.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 37.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.11% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)60.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)80.91% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)33.73% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (-0.038 -0.04)70.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)67.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 33.69%
    Nagoya Grampus 37.59%
    Draw 28.7%
FC TokyoDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.69%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 10.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.7%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 37.59%

How you voted: FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus

FC Tokyo
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Nagoya Grampus
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 5am
Oct 29, 2022 7am
Apr 20, 2022 11am
Sep 22, 2021 11am
Gameweek 32
FC Tokyo
1-1
Nagoya Grampus
Adailton (26')
Aoki (42')
Leandro (81')
Swierczok (43')
Apr 3, 2021 6am
Gameweek 7
Nagoya Grampus
0-0
FC Tokyo
Yoshida (49'), Kimoto (90+5')
Watanabe (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima321711463323162
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe32187751302161
3Machida Zelvia32178746242259
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers3114894839950
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka31131173526950
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7FC Tokyo32138114643347
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus32144144038246
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo31101293840-242
10Yokohama F MarinosYokohama31125145253-141
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Avispa Fukuoka32913102833-540
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa30109114340339
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3298154450-635
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol31811123444-1035
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3274213862-2425


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