J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 at 10am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium
Gamba Osaka3 - 1FC Tokyo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, June 3 at 10am in J1 League
Saturday, June 3 at 10am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-3 Yokohama
Saturday, June 3 at 7am in J1 League
Saturday, June 3 at 7am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
21
We said: Gamba Osaka 2-1 FC Tokyo
Although they suffered a surprise cup defeat in midweek, Gamba Osaka have won their last two home league games, and we think that they will claim a narrow victory over a Tokyo side who have lost three of their previous four away matches in the top flight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gamba Osaka | Draw | FC Tokyo |
43.81% ( -0.5) | 27.56% ( 0.12) | 28.63% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
