MX23RW : Monday, September 30 21:09:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 10am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
1 - 3
Machida Zelvia

Felipe (9')
Handa (31')
Handa (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duke (45+2'), Fujio (61' pen.), Sento (69')
Araki (43'), Shimoda (52'), Suzuki (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Machida Zelvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Machida Zelvia

With vital ground at stake in the race for the J1 League title, we are expecting a hard-fought affair between Gamba and Machida at Panasonic Stadium on Sunday. The Black and Blues are enjoying a marvellous unbeaten run that we feel will continue this weekend, but Zelvia should be good enough to snatch a point in Suita. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
36.3% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 27.65% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 36.05% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.88% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.08% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)56.92% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.17% (-0.106 -0.11)77.83% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)30.01% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)66.13% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)30.17% (0.083000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)66.32% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 36.29%
    Machida Zelvia 36.05%
    Draw 27.64%
Gamba OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.29%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 36.05%

How you voted: Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia

Gamba Osaka
52.0%
Draw
32.0%
Machida Zelvia
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 6am
Gameweek 1
Machida Zelvia
1-1
Gamba Osaka
Suzuki (17' pen.)
Sento (10'), Tani (90+2')
Sento (60')
Usami (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bills
10-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima321711463323162
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe32187751302161
3Machida Zelvia32178746242259
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers3114894839950
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka31131173526950
6Tokyo Verdy32121284242048
7FC Tokyo32138114643347
8Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus32144144038246
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo31101293840-242
10Yokohama F MarinosYokohama31125145253-141
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki311010115045540
12Avispa Fukuoka32913102833-540
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa30109114340339
14Albirex Niigata32109134351-839
15Kyoto Sanga31108133750-1338
16Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare3298154450-635
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol31811123444-1035
18Jubilo Iwata3188153651-1532
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3278173657-2129
20Sagan Tosu3274213862-2425


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