MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 11:29:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 30, 2024 at 10am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
1 - 3
Machida Zelvia

Felipe (9')
Handa (31')
Handa (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duke (45+2'), Fujio (61' pen.), Sento (69')
Araki (43'), Shimoda (52'), Suzuki (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Machida Zelvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Machida Zelvia

With vital ground at stake in the race for the J1 League title, we are expecting a hard-fought affair between Gamba and Machida at Panasonic Stadium on Sunday. The Black and Blues are enjoying a marvellous unbeaten run that we feel will continue this weekend, but Zelvia should be good enough to snatch a point in Suita. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
36.3% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 27.65% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 36.05% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.88% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.08% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)56.92% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.17% (-0.106 -0.11)77.83% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)30.01% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)66.13% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)30.17% (0.083000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)66.32% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 36.29%
    Machida Zelvia 36.05%
    Draw 27.64%
Gamba OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.29%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.05% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 36.05%

How you voted: Gamba Osaka vs Machida Zelvia

Gamba Osaka
52.0%
Draw
32.0%
Machida Zelvia
16.0%
25
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 6am
Gameweek 1
Machida Zelvia
1-1
Gamba Osaka
Suzuki (17' pen.)
Sento (10'), Tani (90+2')
Sento (60')
Usami (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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