J1 League | Gameweek 35
Oct 23, 2024 at 11am UK
National Olympic Stadium
Gamba Osaka3 - 2Nagoya Grampus
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Gamba Osaka
Friday, October 18 at 11am in J1 League
Friday, October 18 at 11am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Consadole
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
41
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
Result | ||
Gamba Osaka | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
40.9% ( -0.11) | 26.99% ( -0.04) | 32.11% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 50.26% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.12% ( 0.17) | 54.88% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.83% ( 0.14) | 76.17% ( -0.14) |
Gamba Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( 0.02) | 26.38% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( 0.03) | 61.53% ( -0.03) |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.28% ( 0.18) | 31.72% ( -0.19) |