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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 4, 2024 at 11am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Oda (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mikuni (90+2'), Izumi (90+1')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, September 28 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawNagoya Grampus
26.06% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 26.76% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 47.18% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.61% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.33% (0.188 0.19)56.68% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.37% (0.149 0.15)77.64% (-0.14800000000001 -0.15)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (0.137 0.14)37.32% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.9% (0.133 0.13)74.11% (-0.133 -0.13)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.085000000000008 0.09)24.04% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (0.122 0.12)58.3% (-0.122 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 26.06%
    Nagoya Grampus 47.17%
    Draw 26.75%
Avispa FukuokaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 26.06%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.75%
0-1 @ 12.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 9.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 47.17%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 7am
Gameweek 7
Nagoya Grampus
0-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Kawazura (26'), Shiihashi (45')
Tashiro (43'), Mae (79'), Miya (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 11am
Jun 11, 2023 8am
Gameweek 17
Nagoya Grampus
2-1
Avispa Fukuoka
Mateus (45' pen.), Junker (69')
Sato (65' pen.)
Mae (19'), Maejima (43')
Sep 3, 2022 11am
Gameweek 28
Avispa Fukuoka
2-3
Nagoya Grampus
Croux (21'), Hiratsuka (57')
Nara (90+1')
Miya (67')
Morishita (2'), Nagai (24', 38')
May 25, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Nakatani (15')
Tiago (43')

Lukian (25'), Mae (28'), Yanagi (67')
rhs 2.0
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