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J1 League | Gameweek 13
May 12, 2024 at 5.05am UK
K’s Denki Stadium (Mito)

Kashima Antlers
3 - 3
Tokyo Verdy

Suzuki (5' pen.), Nago (8'), Ueda (50')
Sekigawa (29'), Jofuku (36'), Nago (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Saito (69'), Kimura (81'), Miki (90+3')
Chida (27'), Tsunashima (43')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Tokyo Verdy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 1-2 Kashima Antlers
Monday, May 6 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 3-2 Jubilo Iwata
Monday, May 6 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 26.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawTokyo Verdy
45.78% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 27.86% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 26.36% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 44.86% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.67% (-0.23 -0.23)60.32% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.51% (-0.176 -0.18)80.48% (0.173 0.17)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)26.36% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)61.5% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.91% (-0.237 -0.24)39.09% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.19% (-0.222 -0.22)75.8% (0.21900000000001 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 45.78%
    Tokyo Verdy 26.36%
    Draw 27.85%
Kashima AntlersDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 13.73% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 45.78%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 10.3% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.36%

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