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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Feb 26, 2025 at 10am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium

Reysol
2 - 1
Cerezo

Kakita (66'), Kinoshita (74')
Harada (36'), Diego (88'), Diego (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kitano (13')
Okuno (90')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, February 22 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, February 22 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawCerezo Osaka
37.42% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 26.86% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 35.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.34% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (0.011999999999997 0.01)75.29% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (0.016000000000005 0.02)27.83% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.019999999999996 0.02)63.43% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.85% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)64.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 37.42%
    Cerezo Osaka 35.72%
    Draw 26.86%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.42%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.98% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.72%

Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 10am
Gameweek 32
Cerezo
0-0
Reysol
Toshima (12'), Inukai (39'), Tezuka (45'), Savio (47')
Apr 3, 2024 11am
Gameweek 6
Reysol
1-1
Cerezo
Savio (21')
Koga (18'), Inukai (57')
Ceara (19' pen.)
Yamada (84')
Aug 12, 2023 11am
Gameweek 23
Reysol
1-1
Cerezo
Toshima (4')
Mitsumaru (64'), Matsumoto (90+1')
Shindo (90+6')
Apr 23, 2023 6am
Oct 8, 2022 8am
rhs 2.0
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