Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
