Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 59.81%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 17.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Vissel Kobe	Draw	Gamba Osaka
59.81% ( 0.21)	22.64% ( -0.12)	17.55% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 48.6% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.29% (

0.32)

49.71% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.28% (

0.29)

71.72% (

-0.29)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

0.19)

16.24% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.24% (

0.33)

45.76% (

-0.33)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.03% (

0.08)

41.97% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.59% (

0.07)

78.41% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Vissel Kobe 59.81%

Gamba Osaka 17.55%

Draw 22.63%

Vissel Kobe	Draw	Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 59.81%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.63%	0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.55%