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Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Jun 17, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Palmeiras

Juventude
0 - 3
Palmeiras

FT(HT: 0-0)
Matheus (53' og.), Deyverson (63'), Lopes (87')
Rocha (32'), Menino (39'), Lopes (90')

Preview: Juventude vs. Palmeiras - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

2020 Copa Libertadores winners Palmeiras take on Brasileiro new boys Juventude this week at the Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.

Palmeiras will come into this game looking to work their way up the table, while Juve will hope to snatch some much-needed points off one of the league's most celebrated sides.


Match preview

Palmeiras' Wesley Ribeiro Silva celebrates scoring their third goal on June 6, 2021© Reuters

Abel Ferreira's Palmeiras have endured a rocky start to the new season, picking up a loss, a victory and a draw in their three opening games.

Currently ninth in the standings, Verdao have just four points to their name and are yet to really make their mark on the campaign.

Last time out against Corinthians, Ferreira's men were held to a 1-1 draw, after Raphael Veiga opened the scoring for Verdao in the third minute of the game.

It has been a difficult start to the campaign for Verdao and their games have been far from easy.

Ferreira will hope a win in this week's game can inspire a good run of form.

Juventude manager Marquinhos Santos pictured in 2019© Reuters

Juve are yet to pick up their first win of the season, having drawn twice and lost once so far.

Currently 14th in the Brasileiro, the top-flight new boys have just two points to their name.

Against Santos last time out, Juve managed to wrangle a 0-0 draw against the league heavyweights.

In what was an extraordinary game, Juve registered just two shots in total, 237 passes compared to Santos's 703 and just 24% of the possession.

Juventude Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L
  • D

Juventude form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D

Palmeiras Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • D

Palmeiras form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

Palmeiras coach Abel Ferreira reacts on May 23, 2021© Reuters

Verdao will be without defender Michel, who is unavailable due to COVID-19.

Patrick de Paula, Danilo Barbosa, Danilo and Gabriel Veron are all also unavailable due to injury.

Juventude boss Marquinhos Santos has a fully fit squad to choose from, with no injury worries to concern himself with.

It is unlikely Santos will tinker too much to his side or make any big formation changes coming into this tie.

Juventude possible starting lineup:
Carne; Michel, Mendes, Forster, Alyson; Capixaba, Elton, Castilho, Vinicios; Wescley, Kim

Palmeiras possible starting lineup:
Jailson; Mayke, Luan, Renan, Luis; Scarpa, Melo, Veiga; Rony, Adriano, Wesley


SM words green background

We say: Juventude 0-2 Palmeiras

Juventude have given life in the top flight a good go in recent weeks, but we expect Palmeiras to really test their resolve and get the better of Juve.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Juventude vs Palmeiras

Juventude
23.1%
Draw
7.7%
Palmeiras
69.2%
13
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Patrick de Paula in action for Palmeiras on December 2, 2020
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras35217757282970
2Botafogo352010553272670
3FortalezaFortaleza341810649341564
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Atletico Mineiro351014114449-544
11Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude35912144355-1239
16Fluminense34108163038-838
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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