La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 at 4pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves2 - 0Las Palmas
We said: Alaves 1-1 Las Palmas
Alaves and Las Palmas have seen three of their previous four competitive meetings finish all square, and we think they could play out another draw in Sunday's clash, especially as the visitors have drawn two of their first three matches this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Las Palmas |
43% ( 0.31) | 30.31% ( 0.13) | 26.69% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 39.09% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.37% ( -0.53) | 67.63% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.31% ( -0.36) | 85.68% ( 0.36) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( -0.1) | 31.43% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.19% ( -0.12) | 67.81% ( 0.12) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.01% ( -0.7) | 42.99% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.72% ( -0.6) | 79.28% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
Alaves 42.99%
Las Palmas 26.68%
Draw 30.31%
| Alaves | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 15.63% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.99% | 0-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.26) 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.31% | 0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.06% Total : 26.68% |
How you voted: Alaves vs Las Palmas
Alaves
45.5%Draw
34.5%Las Palmas
20.0%55
Form Guide
