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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 14, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves logo

Real Madrid
5 - 0
Alaves

Bellingham (10'), Junior (27', 70'), Valverde (45+1'), Guler (81')
Junior (52')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Duarte (50')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's La Liga clash with Alaves.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 2-2 Girona
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Alaves

Alaves will enter this match in excellent form, and we are backing the Basque team to give their supporters a goal to cheer on Tuesday night. Real Madrid are so difficult to stop at the moment, though, and the capital giants should post their 29th league win of the season here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAlaves
69.71% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 18.21% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 12.07% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.34% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)41.66% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)64.06% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)10.8% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.17% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)34.83% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.23% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)44.76% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.25% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)80.74% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 69.7%
    Alaves 12.07%
    Draw 18.21%
Real MadridDrawAlaves
2-0 @ 11.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 8.88% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 69.7%
1-1 @ 8.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 18.21%
0-1 @ 3.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 12.07%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Alaves

Real Madrid
Draw
Alaves
Real Madrid
84.5%
Draw
8.9%
Alaves
6.5%
168
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid

Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')
Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Real Madrid
3-0
Alaves
Asensio (63'), Junior (80'), Benzema (90+1' pen.)
Modric (33')

N'Diaye (48')
Aug 14, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 1
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (65' pen.)
Garcia (35')
Benzema (48', 62'), Nacho (56'), Junior (90+2')
Bale (53'), Courtois (64')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (59')
Navarro (10'), Garcia (49'), Laguardia (79'), Sainz (85'), Mendez (90+2')
Casemiro (15'), Benzema (41', 70'), Hazard (45+1')
Militao (59'), Mendy (86'), Benzema (88')
Nov 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
1-2
Alaves
Casemiro (86')
Casemiro (18'), Kroos (61')
Perez (5' pen.), Joselu (49')
Rioja (67'), Duarte (76'), Mendez (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo35147145554149
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Valencia351112124351-845
11Osasuna351015104351-845
12Real Sociedad35127163241-943
13Getafe35109163134-339
14Espanyol35109163847-939
15Sevilla35911153949-1038
16GironaGirona35108174153-1238
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3588194057-1732
RReal ValladolidValladolid3544272685-5916


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