

Real Madrid5 - 0Alaves
The Match
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Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Alaves
Alaves will enter this match in excellent form, and we are backing the Basque team to give their supporters a goal to cheer on Tuesday night. Real Madrid are so difficult to stop at the moment, though, and the capital giants should post their 29th league win of the season here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 12.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
69.71% (![]() | 18.21% (![]() | 12.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.34% (![]() | 41.66% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.94% (![]() | 64.06% (![]() |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.2% (![]() | 10.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.17% (![]() | 34.83% (![]() |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.23% (![]() | 44.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.25% (![]() | 80.74% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
2-0 @ 11.97% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.75% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 3.98% Total : 69.7% | 1-1 @ 8.65% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.87% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 18.21% | 0-1 @ 3.89% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.19% Total : 12.07% |
How you voted: Real Madrid vs Alaves

