Celta Vigo2 - 1Alaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Celta Vigo 2-1 Alaves
This has all of the makings of a very interesting match; the two teams played out a 1-1 draw in the reverse clash last season, while Alaves won 3-0 on home soil. Celta have been victorious in five of their last seven league meetings, though, and we are backing the hosts to secure all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
50.38% ( 0.02) | 27.67% ( -0.02) | 21.96% |
| Both teams to score 41.48% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.41% ( 0.07) | 62.6% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.83% ( 0.05) | 82.17% ( -0.05) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( 0.04) | 25.16% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.12% ( 0.06) | 59.88% ( -0.05) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.42% ( 0.04) | 44.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.41% ( 0.03) | 80.59% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 15.47% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.96% |
How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Alaves
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')
