Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
49.98% ( -0) | 28.39% ( -0.1) | 21.63% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 39.46% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.01% ( 0.37) | 64.99% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.12% ( 0.26) | 83.88% ( -0.26) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.55% ( 0.18) | 26.45% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.37% ( 0.23) | 61.63% ( -0.22) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.66% ( 0.34) | 46.34% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.02% ( 0.26) | 81.98% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 16.3% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 49.97% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |