La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

Apr 30, 2022 at 8pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Atletico

Hermoso (8' og.), Williams (56' pen.)
Garcia (25'), Williams (68'), Berenguer (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hermoso (1'), Mandava (18'), Lodi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Villarreal	38	26	59
8	Athletic Bilbao	38	7	55
9	Valencia	38	-5	48

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71
4	Sevilla	38	23	70

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Only Cadiz (13) have drawn more league matches than Athletic (12) this season, and we fancy the Basque outfit to secure a share of the spoils here. Atletico need to win to strengthen their grip on a top-four spot, but the champions struggled against Granada last time out and might have to settle for another point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
38.86%	26.56%	34.58%

Both teams to score 52.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.29%

52.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.65%

74.35%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51%

26.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.32%

61.69%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98%

29.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08%

64.92%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 38.86%

Atletico Madrid 34.58%

Draw 26.56%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.86%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.58%