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La Liga | Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Atletico Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Atletico

Hermoso (8' og.), Williams (56' pen.)
Garcia (25'), Williams (68'), Berenguer (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hermoso (1'), Mandava (18'), Lodi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Only Cadiz (13) have drawn more league matches than Athletic (12) this season, and we fancy the Basque outfit to secure a share of the spoils here. Atletico need to win to strengthen their grip on a top-four spot, but the champions struggled against Granada last time out and might have to settle for another point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
38.86%26.56%34.58%
Both teams to score 52.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29%52.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65%74.35%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32%61.69%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98%29.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08%64.92%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 38.86%
    Atletico Madrid 34.58%
    Draw 26.56%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 5.89%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.58%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico

Athletic Bilbao
22.1%
Draw
32.6%
Atletico Madrid
45.3%
95
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2022 7pm
Atletico
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Simeone (62' og.)
Vrsaljko (90+1')
Gimenez (90+3')
Alvarez (77'), Williams (81')
Martinez (83'), Vesga (90'), Williams (90+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Kondogbia (36'), Felix (78'), Savic (79'), Cunha (90'), Gimenez (90+7')
Felix (78')

Garcia (30'), Williams Arthuer (82')
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Atletico
Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Atletico
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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