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La Liga | Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Atletico Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Atletico

Hermoso (8' og.), Williams (56' pen.)
Garcia (25'), Williams (68'), Berenguer (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hermoso (1'), Mandava (18'), Lodi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Only Cadiz (13) have drawn more league matches than Athletic (12) this season, and we fancy the Basque outfit to secure a share of the spoils here. Atletico need to win to strengthen their grip on a top-four spot, but the champions struggled against Granada last time out and might have to settle for another point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
38.86%26.56%34.58%
Both teams to score 52.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29%52.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65%74.35%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32%61.69%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98%29.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08%64.92%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 38.86%
    Atletico Madrid 34.58%
    Draw 26.56%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 5.89%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.58%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico

Athletic Bilbao
22.1%
Draw
32.6%
Atletico Madrid
45.3%
95
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2022 7pm
Atletico
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Simeone (62' og.)
Vrsaljko (90+1')
Gimenez (90+3')
Alvarez (77'), Williams (81')
Martinez (83'), Vesga (90'), Williams (90+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Kondogbia (36'), Felix (78'), Savic (79'), Cunha (90'), Gimenez (90+7')
Felix (78')

Garcia (30'), Williams Arthuer (82')
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Atletico
Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Atletico
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal137422521425
5Osasuna146441922-322
6GironaGirona146352018221
7Mallorca146351312121
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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