Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
51.47% ( -0.08) | 26.08% ( 0.04) | 22.44% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.03% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.04% ( -0.12) | 56.96% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.14% ( -0.1) | 77.86% ( 0.09) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.78% ( -0.09) | 22.22% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.36% ( -0.13) | 55.63% ( 0.13) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.18% ( -0.03) | 40.82% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.61% ( -0.03) | 77.39% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |