La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 11, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Martinez Valero

Elche
0 - 2
Atletico

Milla (7'), Bigas (40')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Cunha (28'), De Paul (62')
Lodi (35'), Kondogbia (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Elche and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

Last Six:

Last Game: Elche 3-1 Getafe
Sunday, May 22 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Rayo Vallecano	38	-11	42
13	Elche	38	-12	42
14	Espanyol	38	-13	42

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71
4	Sevilla	38	23	70

We said: Elche 0-2 Atletico Madrid

With their confidence restored thanks to an important derby win at the weekend, we back Atletico Madrid to take all three points on Wednesday. Simeone's men boast the quality at both ends of the pitch to outclass their hosts, and we do not see them running into too many troubles on their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Elche had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Elche	Draw	Atletico Madrid
25.73% ( -0.22)	25.72% ( -0.08)	48.55% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.01% (

0.15)

52.99% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41% (

0.13)

74.59% (

-0.13)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

-0.11)

35.59% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.64% (

-0.11)

72.36% (

0.1)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

0.19)

21.84% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

0.3)

55.07% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Elche 25.73%

Atletico Madrid 48.55%

Draw 25.71%

Elche	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.73%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.55%