Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Elche had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
25.73% ( -0.22) | 25.72% ( -0.08) | 48.55% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.01% ( 0.15) | 52.99% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.41% ( 0.13) | 74.59% ( -0.13) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.41% ( -0.11) | 35.59% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.64% ( -0.11) | 72.36% ( 0.1) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.19) | 21.84% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( 0.3) | 55.07% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.73% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |