Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
57.77% | 23.42% | 18.82% |
Both teams to score 48.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49% | 51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.13% | 72.87% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.59% | 17.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.15% | 47.85% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.75% | 41.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.22% | 77.78% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.55% 2-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 5.66% 4-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.76% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.36% 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2% Total : 18.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |