Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
57.85% | 25.29% | 16.87% |
Both teams to score 40.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.79% | 60.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.6% | 80.4% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.1% | 20.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.39% | 53.61% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.91% | 49.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.98% | 84.01% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 16.05% 2-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 4.67% 4-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.99% Total : 57.84% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.3% 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |