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Osauna logo
La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 31, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Reyno de Navarra
Atletico Madrid logo

Osasuna
1 - 3
Atletico

Budimir (80')
Herrera (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Felix (43' pen., 69'), Torreira (88')
Koke (72'), Llorente (91')

Preview: Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Atletico Madrid will be looking to make it three La Liga victories in a row when they travel to Pamplona to take on an in-form Osasuna on Saturday evening.

Diego Simeone's side are currently fifth in the table with 11 points to show from their five matches, while Osasuna sit seventh with 10 points from their opening six fixtures of 2020-21.


Match preview

Osasuna manager Jagoba Arrasate in August 2019.© Reuters

Osasuna finished 10th in La Liga last season after a two-year absence, and it has been an encouraging start to the current campaign for Jagoba Arrasate's side.

A record of three wins, one draw and two defeats from six matches has left them in seventh position in the table, only four points off the summit with a game in hand on leaders Real Sociedad.

Los Rojillos lost back-to-back games against Getafe and Levante at the end of September, but it has been a positive October for the club, picking up seven points from their three matches.

Ruben Garcia scored a late penalty in a 1-0 win over Athletic Bilbao last weekend, but Arrasate's side now have Atletico, Sevilla and Barcelona in three of their next four matches during a tough run.

Atletico Madrid manager Diego Simeone pictured on October 17, 2020© Reuters

Atletico, meanwhile, have won three and drawn two of their five league matches this season to sit fifth in the table. They are the only La Liga side yet to lose this season, while a long unbeaten record in Spain's top flight actually stretches back until the start of February.

Simeone's team have beaten Celta Vigo and Real Betis 2-0 in their last two league matches, while they will also enter this match off the back of an important Champions League victory.

The capital giants lost their European opener at Bayern Munich on October 21 but managed to get off the mark on Tuesday night courtesy of a 3-2 home success over Red Bull Salzburg, with Joao Felix scoring twice in the second period to secure an important win for his team.

The matches are coming thick and fast at the moment as Atletico are again in Champions League action away to Lokomotiv Moscow on November 3 before facing Cadiz ahead of the international break.

Los Rojiblancos ran out 5-0 winners when they travelled to Osasuna in the latter stages of last season, while they have been victorious in eight of the last nine league meetings between the two sides.

Osasuna La Liga form: WLLWDW

Atletico Madrid La Liga form: WDDWW
Atletico Madrid form (all competitions): DDWLWW


Team News

Atletico Madrid striker Luis Suarez celebrates scoring against Granada on his debut on September 27, 2020© Reuters

Osasuna will again be without a number of first-team players this weekend, with Jonathan Calleri, Lucas Torro, Chimy Avila and Darko Brasanac all definitely out of the contest.

Aridane Hernandez and Ante Budimir are also doubts, meaning that Arrasate does not have many options for change this weekend and could stick with the majority of the side that started against Athletic.

Ruben Garcia is again expected to join Enric Gallego in the final third of the field, while Unai Garcia is likely to be handed a start if Aridane is unable to prove his fitness.

As for Atletico, Diego Costa and Sime Vrsaljko remain on the sidelines through injury, while key midfielder Saul Niguez is still a fitness doubt for the capital giants.

Simeone is expected to make changes from the side that started against Salzburg in the Champions League, with Lucas Torreira and Jose Gimenez likely to return to the starting XI.

Thomas Lemar is also an option in an attacking position, although both Luis Suarez and Felix are again expected to be in the capital team's starting side this weekend.

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Roncaglia, U Garcia, D Garcia, Cruz; Vidal, Oier, Perez, Jony; Gallego, R Garcia

Atletico Madrid possible starting lineup:
Oblak; Trippier, Savic, Gimenez, Lodi; Correa, Llorente, Torreira, Koke; Felix, Suarez


SM words green background

We say: Osasuna 0-1 Atletico Madrid

Osasuna will enter the match full of confidence after an impressive October, but Atletico's long unbeaten run in the league must be respected, and we just fancy Simeone's side to shade a tight match this weekend.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.43%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid?

Osasuna
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Atletico Madrid
100%
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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