Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.64%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Valladolid |
65.25% | 21.68% | 13.07% |
Both teams to score 41.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.2% | 53.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.73% | 75.27% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% | 15.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.01% | 44.99% |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.27% | 50.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.84% | 85.15% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 14.79% 2-0 @ 13.64% 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 8.39% 3-1 @ 5.69% 4-0 @ 3.87% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.66% Total : 65.24% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 3.14% Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.68% | 0-1 @ 5.45% 1-2 @ 3.41% 0-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.36% Total : 13.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
14 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |