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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 28, 2020 at 3.15pm UK
Mestalla
Atletico Madrid logo

Valencia
0 - 1
Atletico


Racic (28'), Guillamon (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lato (79' og.)
Niguez (43'), Correa (62'), Llorente (76'), Felix (81'), Koke (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.64%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
17.14%22.94%59.91%
Both teams to score 46.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46%51.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66%73.34%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.43%43.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23%79.76%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.15%16.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.15%46.85%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 17.14%
    Atletico Madrid 59.91%
    Draw 22.94%
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.1%
2-1 @ 4.51%
2-0 @ 2.53%
3-1 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.14%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 13.07%
0-2 @ 11.64%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-3 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 5.74%
0-4 @ 3.08%
1-4 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-5 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 1.06%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 59.91%

How you voted: Valencia vs Atletico

Valencia
23.5%
Draw
26.7%
Atletico Madrid
49.8%
247
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 24
Valencia
2-2
Atletico
Paulista (40'), Kondogbia (59')
Paulista (55'), Mangala (67'), Gomez (79')
Llorente (15'), Partey (43')
Lodi (26'), Vrsaljko (58'), Poveda (71')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Apr 24, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Atletico
3-2
Valencia
Morata (9'), Griezmann (49'), Correa (81')
Morata (47'), Luis (56'), Niguez (76')
Gameiro (36'), Parejo (77' pen.)
Soler (22'), Sobrino (73'), Diakhaby (90')
Aug 20, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 1
Valencia
1-1
Atletico
Rodrigo (56')
Garay (45'), Rodrigo (70')
Correa (26')
Savic (13'), Juanfran (52'), Luis (63')
Feb 4, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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