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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 28, 2020 at 3.15pm UK
Mestalla
Atletico Madrid logo

Valencia
0 - 1
Atletico


Racic (28'), Guillamon (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lato (79' og.)
Niguez (43'), Correa (62'), Llorente (76'), Felix (81'), Koke (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.64%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
17.14%22.94%59.91%
Both teams to score 46.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46%51.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66%73.34%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.43%43.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.23%79.76%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.15%16.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.15%46.85%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 17.14%
    Atletico Madrid 59.91%
    Draw 22.94%
ValenciaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.1%
2-1 @ 4.51%
2-0 @ 2.53%
3-1 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.14%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 7.34%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.94%
0-1 @ 13.07%
0-2 @ 11.64%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-3 @ 6.91%
1-3 @ 5.74%
0-4 @ 3.08%
1-4 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-5 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 1.06%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 59.91%

How you voted: Valencia vs Atletico

Valencia
23.5%
Draw
26.7%
Atletico Madrid
49.8%
247
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 24
Valencia
2-2
Atletico
Paulista (40'), Kondogbia (59')
Paulista (55'), Mangala (67'), Gomez (79')
Llorente (15'), Partey (43')
Lodi (26'), Vrsaljko (58'), Poveda (71')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Apr 24, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Atletico
3-2
Valencia
Morata (9'), Griezmann (49'), Correa (81')
Morata (47'), Luis (56'), Niguez (76')
Gameiro (36'), Parejo (77' pen.)
Soler (22'), Sobrino (73'), Diakhaby (90')
Aug 20, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 1
Valencia
1-1
Atletico
Rodrigo (56')
Garay (45'), Rodrigo (70')
Correa (26')
Savic (13'), Juanfran (52'), Luis (63')
Feb 4, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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