Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Valencia |
29.58% | 27.33% | 43.09% |
Both teams to score 48.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.01% | 56.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.11% | 77.89% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.35% | 34.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.63% | 71.37% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.79% | 26.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.7% | 61.3% |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 5.1% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 18 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |