Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 1-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.