Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Granada had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.