MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 19:36:42| >> :600:9435783:9435783:
[monks data]
Granada logo
La Liga | Gameweek 4
Jan 12, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Osauna logo

Granada
2 - 0
Osasuna

Suarez (22'), Herrera (45+1' og.)
Duarte (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sanjurjo (36'), Garcia (40'), Garcia (67'), Gallego (76')

Preview: Granada vs. Osasuna - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Granada and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Osasuna will be looking to build on Saturday's encouraging result against Real Madrid when they continue their 2020-21 La Liga campaign away to Granada on Tuesday night.

The strugglers remain 19th in the table but picked up a welcome point against the champions in their last match, while Granada will enter the contest off the back of a 4-0 defeat to Barcelona.


Match preview

Granada manager Diego Martinez pictured on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Granada would have been looking to return to winning ways against Barca on Saturday, having entered the contest off the back of a disappointing 2-0 loss at Eibar on January 3.

Diego Martinez's side were comfortably beaten by the Catalan giants, though, with Antoine Griezmann and Lionel Messi both scoring braces in a four-goal win.

El Grana remain seventh in Spain's top flight, having picked up 24 points from their 17 matches, but the fact that they have already lost seven times this season is a concern for a team chasing a European finish.

The Red and Whites, who finished seventh in La Liga last term, have a busy period ahead as they will continue their Copa del Rey challenge against Malaga on January 15, while Martinez's team will take on Napoli in the knockout round of the Europa League towards the end of next month.

Osasuna goalkeeper Sergio Herrera in action against Real Madrid on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Osasuna, as mentioned, will enter Tuesday's contest off the back of a goalless draw with Real Madrid; it was a freezing night in Pamplona, and the home team managed to claim a welcome point.

Jagoba Arrasate's side are finding it difficult to escape the relegation zone at the moment, with a total of 15 points from 17 matches leaving them in 19th, one point behind 17th-placed Valencia.

Osasuna are unbeaten in their last four league matches, sharing the points with Elche, Alaves, Real Sociedad and Real Madrid since losing at home to Villarreal on December 19.

Los Rojillos have not collected all three points in La Liga since October 24, though, and they have lost their last two league fixtures with Granada by an aggregate score of 4-0.

Back-to-back draws with Sociedad and the reigning champions will hand them confidence, but a poor result on Tuesday would leave them in a difficult spot ahead of a huge game at Valencia on January 21.

Granada La Liga form: WWLWLL
Granada form (all competitions): WLWLWL

Osasuna La Liga form: LLDDDD
Osasuna form (all competitions): LDDDWD


Team News

Granada players celebrate scoring against Athletic Bilbao on September 12, 2020© Reuters

Granada will be without the services of Jesus Vallejo, who received a red card against Barca on Saturday, while Maxime Gonalons, Quini and Victor Diaz are all injury doubts.

Luis Milla is available, though, having recovered from coronavirus, and it would not be a surprise to see the 26-year-old return to the starting XI on Tuesday night.

Luis Suarez started on the bench against Barca but should be back in the side for this match, while Darwin Machis and Roberto Soldado are also likely to feature in the final third of the field.

As for Osasuna, Chimy Avila, Darko Brasanac, Adrian Lopez and Ruben Martinez are all out through injury, while Lucas Torro remains a doubt for Tuesday's contest.

Head coach Arrasate is expected to keep faith with the bulk of the side that picked up a point against Real Madrid, although there could be a start for Jony in an attacking position.

Enric Gallego and Ante Budimir are options for change in the final third, but Jonathan Calleri is again likely to be given the nod through the middle for the visitors.

Granada possible starting lineup:
Silva; Foulquier, Duarte, Sanchez, Neva; Montoro, Milla, Herrera; Suarez, Soldado, Machis

Osasuna possible starting lineup:
Herrera; Vidal, D Garcia, Hernandez, Cruz; Oier, Moncayola; Torres, R Garcia, Jony; Calleri


SM words green background

We say: Granada 1-1 Osasuna

Osasuna have been the draw specialists in recent weeks, and we fancy the visitors to claim another point here. Granada have lost three of their last four in the league and will be wary of suffering another defeat, which could mean that Tuesday's match is a cagey affair.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Granada vs Osasuna

Granada
68.2%
Draw
25.5%
Osasuna
6.3%
192
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