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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Osauna logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Osasuna

Williams (58'), Villalibre (90+6')
Berchiche (22'), Herrera (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garcia (40'), Garcia (47')
Herrando (34'), Ibanez (55'), Catena (73'), Garcia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Betis
Sunday, May 5 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna

Both sides have selection issues ahead of this match, and it has the potential to be a very tricky match for Athletic, who will have a patched-up defence. The Basque outfit need to win to stay in the top-four race, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 13.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
65.44% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04) 21.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 13.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.01% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.1% (0.034999999999997 0.03)50.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (0.029 0.03)72.78% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.21%14.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.65% (0.07 0.07)48.35% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.51% (0.050000000000001 0.05)83.49% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 65.44%
    Osasuna 13.44%
    Draw 21.12%
Athletic BilbaoDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 13.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 8.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.97% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 65.44%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.12%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 13.44%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao
88.8%
Draw
8.8%
Osasuna
2.5%
80
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Osasuna
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Garcia (59')
Avila (90+4')
Williams (11'), Guruzeta (20')
Lekue (38'), Sancet (47'), Ruiz de Galarreta (71'), Simon (90+4')
Sancet (59')
May 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 36
Osasuna
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Budimir (50'), Torro (77')
Torro (31'), Budimir (66'), Ibanez (84')

de Marcos (15'), Berenguer (74'), Vivian (76')
Apr 4, 2023 8.10pm
Mar 1, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Osasuna
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Jan 9, 2023 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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